Market Insight: Physical Risk In Private Markets Moves Beyond Risk Identification

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Executive Summary

Physical climate risk assessment has matured significantly across private markets, with leading firms largely solving the challenge of identifying and quantifying asset-level exposure. Verdantix research finds that scenario analysis, third-party climate data and asset-level risk mapping are now widely adopted among the largest general partners (GPs), making physical risk assessment a standard component of investment risk management. As these capabilities become more common, the focus is shifting from risk identification to generating decision-useful intelligence. The next frontier is translating physical climate risks into financially material impacts, understanding dependencies across assets and value chains, and supporting adaptation planning. As a result, competitive differentiation is moving away from risk measurement and towards informing investment decisions, portfolio management and value creation.

Physical risk in private markets has moved from a data issue to an intelligence challenge
Leading private market firms have largely solved the first layer of physical risk assessment
Vendor opportunities are shifting from climate risk identification to investment decision support

About the Authors

Felicity Laird

Felicity Laird

Principal Analyst

Felicity is a Principal Analyst at Verdantix, where she helps financial institutions and technology vendors navigate the evolving climate finance data and analytics landscape....

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Ryan Skinner

Ryan Skinner

VP Research

Ryan is a VP Research at Verdantix, where he leads a team of analysts delivering research, data and advisory services that help clients navigate the fast-evolving landscape of...

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